Showing posts with label bailout. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bailout. Show all posts

Tuesday, 24 November 2009

King Backs Osborne

This is the implication of Mervyn King's long-overdue criticism of Crash Gordon's mishandling of the economy and creation of the largest peacetime deficit in British history, ostensibly somehow to buy his way out of recession, but in reality to try to generate some sort of fake recovery in the run-up to the general election, thereby, somehow, securing a victory. God help us all if that works.

Well, that's precisely the point, isn't it? Whatever the motive for Brown's profligacy, it's becoming abundantly clear that it won't work. Britain is not recovering, in spite of the gazillions of pounds, much of it printed, being poured down the drain to make up for Brown's truly horrific, banana republic-style borrowing and spending splurge. King, it seems, has finally come clean on the scale of the government-led secret, further bailout of those two giant Scottish banks, RBS and HBOS, (£61Bn) whose chiefs were so very close to Brown and other Scottish Labourists, and who brought such pain to the people of Britain as a whole with their casino business practices and high risk, rank profiteering. He seems to have had enough of carrying the can for all Brown's gargantuan errors of judgment, both as Chancellor and as unelected Prime Minister.

Today's Telegraph report therefore makes refreshing reading, at least for me, loathe Brown and support the Tory plan for saving the British economy as I do.

In comments which are likely to infuriate Mr Brown, Mervyn King said that the next Government would need to “eliminate a large part of the structural deficit” over one parliamentary term alone. This proposal goes significantly further than anything penned in by the Government in the Budget, or what is demanded by the Fiscal Responsibility Bill unveiled last week in the Queen’s Speech.

In a hearing of the Treasury Select Committee, Mr King said repeatedly that the Government’s plan needed to be “credible” and detailed, or it would lose the confidence of the international investors who buy British debt. He said: “I think [the plan] has to be something where a really significant reduction in the deficit, the elimination of a large part of the structural deficit, takes place over the lifetime of a parliament, which is the period for which a government is elected. Beyond that is a statement of intent and hope rather than a plan for which someone can be held accountable.”

This, to me, represents not only a "rebuke" of Brown for his incompetence and subsequent complacency about the state of the national finances, but also a clear message of support for George Osborne. And it goes further, according to the report.

In comments which will further rattle markets, Mr King said that the top-tier rating on Britain’s debt could be at risk if the Government does not go ahead with significant cuts.

He said: “I don’t think there’s any immediate risk [of a downgrade] but of course the longer there isn’t a credible plan that sets out what actions will be taken, the more that is a risk. I myself don’t think that there is any impediment to the UK putting in place a credible plan that will convince financial markets.”

This is arguably the sternest of the numerous warnings the Bank’s Governor has issued to Mr Brown over the size of the deficit. It is the first since Mr Brown announced last week that the Government would draw up legislation forcing it to cut the deficit each year for the next decade and insisting that it halves the budget deficit within four years. Since then, however, official statistics have shown that the Government is still borrowing cash at the rate of almost £3 billion a week.

I wonder how Brown will get his revenge. Remember, you see, for 'moral compass' man, it's all about politics and always has been. He will burn anyone down who shows dissent and over whom he exercises some form of control. That's Brown's way, the way of the bully, the coward and the demagogue.

It's also the Labour way. An expert has just spoken out of turn, in this case Mervyn King. We know how Labour deals with people like that, don't we Professor Nutt?

But hey, things can only get better. We can vote the bastards out in 2010. As one poll shows, published at the same time as that Guardian Ipsos-Mori rogue, (another puts Labour back down on 22%, on point ahead of the Liberals), it's looking increasingly like that's precisely what we will do. And there's nothing Brown, Mandelson or the rest of that shower of lying, ruinous losers can do about it.

Tuesday, 3 November 2009

Mountainous Losses

The Royal Bank of Scotland. Bailed-out by the government with $71 Billion of our money - by far the biggest bank rescue in the world - and now to be asset stripped at the behest of Brussels right at the very bottom of the market. And this is just one banking example in the biggest British bust of all time.

The result? Well, you may ignore the bluster, the spin and the lies from our catastrophically incompetent Labour lords and masters. The result will be that British banks will lose more money than any other banks in any other country in history. The price of Brown's failure as Chancellor before his crash, and as Prime Minister after it, is there for all to see in the graph. As Mark Bathgate notes just now in the Spectator, the losses could be, according to the IMF, as much as 25% of Britain's entire GDP. That's more than three times the next most exposed country, the USA. This is, quite simply, the biggest financial disaster in British history. And it happened on Brown's watch. Thanks to Brown's overweaning arrogance and incoherent regulatory system married with, of course (inevitably), his total mismanagement of the public finances, a large but managable adjustment, which is what it would have been under a Tory government, became a meltdown - and it's not over yet.

Anyone, anyone who thinks voting for Brown in the General Election is a pretty neat idea should have their polling card confiscated. Why? Two reasons: 1) They represent a clear and present threat to the future recovery - existence even - of the country, and 2) They're obviously mentally impaired.

Anyway, Bathgate's brilliant article is worth quoting in full:
Two years after Northern Rock became the first bank failure of this crisis, another £30 billion of taxpayers’ money needs to be thrown at the banking system. Behind all the noise about improving competition and the European Commission lies one core fact: the UK banks have lost an astonishing sum of money. The above chart shows bank losses as a percentage share of GDP, and illustrates the scale of the crisis that has overwhelmed the banking system and the taxpayer. The IMF estimates that losses could be as high as 25% of UK GDP.

UK banks went on an orgy of lending around the world, becoming the biggest source of credit growth in many countries. RBS trebled its total lending in just three years, expanding its balance sheet to almost 1.5 times the size of the UK economy. Egged on by Gordon Brown – in whose tax receipts he felt he had found the “New North Sea Oil” to fund an ever grander government sector – money was thrown in almost every conceivable direction. In common with their cheerleader Brown, the banks decided there was no reason to worry about the day when the economy could decline because ‘boom and bust’ had ended. This led to many UK banks – the largest lenders at the height of the boom – facing the downturn with the lowest bad-loan reserves and the weakest liquidity position of any banks globally.

The list of bank failures that started with Northern Rocks is now long: Bradford and Bingley, Singer and Friedlander, Dunfermline Building Society, RBS, Lloyds, HBOS. With over £30 billion handed over today, the direct cost for the taxpayer approaches £90 billion, with no certainty of these sums being recouped. On top of this, there are still over £1 trillion of other subsidies being provided to these banks and others who have not needed direct bailouts, like Barclays, to try and hold the system together. This is not the end of the bill – most people will have noticed overdraft charges rising and the gap between mortgage rates and the Bank of England Base Rate soaring. UK banks have increased their margins to UK customers to pay for their losses. This is one of the key reasons that the UK economy remains, alone among the major economies, in recession. It’s not smart economics to refund the taxpayer the cost of the bailout by simply ramping up the costs of banking to the same taxpayer.

The UK bank crisis ranks as one of the most serious shocks to hit a developed economy in the post-war period. The scale of bank losses may even eclipse those of the Japanese banks in the 1990s - losses that cost the Japanese economy more than a decade of growth. Fixing the problem is every bit as important as addressing the government debt crisis, and will likely be the difference between stagnation and recovery.
"Egged on by Gordon Brown..."
True and absolute proof positive that if the bankers are the guilty ones for causing the actual crisis, on Brown's head rests the political guilt. He has yet to be brought to book for his crimes, as have many of those self-same bankers, at HBOS and RBS particularly, most of whom are Gordon's knighted chums. I think those facts are related. Don't you?